ISSN 1662-4009 (online)

ey0020.11-5 | Diabetes | ESPEYB20

11.5. Global incidence, prevalence, and mortality of type 1 diabetes in 2021 with projection to 2040: a modelling study

GA Gregory , TIG Robinson , SE Linklater , F Wang , S Colagiuri , C de Beaufort , KC Donaghue , , International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas Type 1 Diabetes in Adults Special Interest Group, , DJ Magliano , J Maniam , TJ Orchard , P Rai , GD Ogle

Brief summary: The authors developed a model to estimate the worldwide prevalence of Type 1 diabetes (T1D) in 2040. Compared to 2021, when an estimated 8.4 million individuals had T1D (including 18% < 20 years), the prevalent cases are expected to increase to 13.5–17.4 million in 2040, with the largest relative increase taking place in low- and middle-income countries.This model, using published data (available from only 97 countries worldwide) ...